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April 24, 2024
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Investment Volume Could Pick Up in 2nd Half of Year if Central Banks Cut Rates in the Second Quarter

2/15/24

CBRE recently released its latest Global Investment Brief, which provides a comprehensive analysis of the global commercial real estate investment landscape. The report offers valuable insights into investment volume trends across different regions and sectors, as well as the factors impacting investment activity.

Here are the key findings from the report:

Global commercial real estate investment volume fell by 37% year-over-year in Q4 2023 to US$157 bil. The annual volume for 2023 also experienced a significant decline, falling by 47% year-over-year to US$647 bil.

Investment volume declined across all regions in Q4, with the Americas experiencing the largest decrease of 42%, followed by Europe with a decline of 24%, and Asia-Pacific with a decline of 37%. For the year, investment volume fell by 50% in the Americas, 46% in Europe, and 29% in Asia-Pacific.

All commercial real estate sectors recorded year-over-year declines in investment volume in both Q4 and for the full year.

High interest rates, tight credit conditions, and a global economic slowdown were key factors inhibiting real estate investment activity in the past year.

However, CBRE forecasts that if central banks begin cutting interest rates as expected in the second quarter and financial market volatility eases, investment activity should start to recover in the second half of 2024.

Richard Barkham, CBRE's Global Chief Economist, commented on the findings, "The decline in global commercial real estate investment volume reflects the challenging economic conditions and market uncertainties faced in the past year particularly inflation. As central banks move start to cut interest rates and market conditions stabilize, we anticipate a recovery in investment activity in the second half of 2024. This presents opportunities for investors to re-engage in the market and capitalize on potential value."


This update was provided by Aaron Richardson, Director of Communications, Global Capital Markets/VAS, CBRE | Corporate Communications




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